MSR — Miles Shoaf Rating, a résumé-solved power ranking (#1 = best). SoS — strength-of-schedule rank (#1 = toughest slate played). Q-Cr — quality-win credits: the summed rating of the teams you beat. Click any team for its full profile.
Full MSR ranking for every FBS team this season (count varies by year). Same columns as the Top 25 — MSR rank, record, rating strength, SoS rank, quality-win credits. Search by team or conference.
Odds from 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the season. Make Playoff — chance of reaching the 12-team field. National Title — chance of winning it all. Conference Favorites — each league's most likely champ. Proj Wins — average simulated win total.
PPA — Predicted Points Added, the model's per-play efficiency (offense & defense, shown as a rank, #1 = best). Havoc — rate of plays with a tackle-for-loss, forced fumble, or pass defended. Player leaders are national season totals.
Hot Seat — a fire-risk score (higher = hotter) from win rate, tenure, and buyout cost; first-year coaches get a grace pass. $ out — the coach's buyout (cost to fire). Coaching Changes — every head-coach change this season, updated as they happen.
SU — straight-up: picked the correct winner. ATS — against the spread vs the Vegas line (52.4% = break-even). O/U — over/under the total. Graded on every FBS game the model projected, week by week. Green = beating the betting break-even.